FROZEN P11R244 MULTIMODAL CASE CHAIN

P11R244 双模态代表案例

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六个案例由 P11R343 按冻结规则从 P11R244 折外预测中确定,覆盖项目方法相对前沿比较器及两个消融的挽救与失误。P11R346 由固定 Qwen 模型读取已登记的 magnetogram/continuum 合成图并给出受约束描述。案例用于检查模型行为,不参与候选选择或性能估计。

P11R244 双模态案例 1
P11R244 CASE 01 / 78fa7a75e2bc03e7fc18

项目方法相对前沿比较器挽救

HARPN 81952022-05-06T20:48:00_TAI真值 beta-x
P11R244 项目方法beta-x / 真类概率 0.9859
2025 前沿比较器alpha / 真类概率 0.0140

Qwen 像素级描述

Magnetogram shows multiple red and blue patches distributed across the central region with a dominant dark red cluster in the lower right quadrant.;Continuum shows a granular grayscale field with a single bright white spot in the upper right quadrant.

跨模态关系

The dominant red magnetogram cluster does not spatially align with the single bright continuum spot.

限制:Low-resolution derived display; polarity magnitude and physical units cannot be inferred from color intensity.

P11R244 双模态案例 2
P11R244 CASE 02 / 581c60716a8f22c6cc3e

项目方法相对前沿比较器失误

HARPN 2112010-10-18T03:12:00_TAI真值 beta-x
P11R244 项目方法beta / 真类概率 0.0093
2025 前沿比较器beta-x / 真类概率 0.9971

Qwen 像素级描述

Magnetogram shows two large, elongated regions of red and blue polarity separated horizontally across the lower half.;Continuum shows multiple bright white patches distributed across the lower half, roughly corresponding to the magnetogram polarity regions.

跨模态关系

Bright continuum patches are spatially co-located with the elongated red and blue magnetogram regions.

限制:Low-resolution derived display; causal topology cannot be inferred from color or brightness alone.

P11R244 双模态案例 3
P11R244 CASE 03 / 9b519e84cbf548d99ac4

交叉注意力相对消融挽救

HARPN 39962014-04-14T00:00:00_TAI真值 beta-x
P11R244 项目方法beta-x / 真类概率 0.9520
无交叉注意力消融beta / 真类概率 0.2516

Qwen 像素级描述

Magnetogram shows a wide horizontal band of mixed red and blue patches, with a prominent dark red cluster on the right side.;Continuum shows a horizontal band with multiple bright white spots, including a large bright region on the far left and a distinct bright spot on the right.

跨模态关系

The prominent red magnetogram cluster on the right aligns with a bright continuum spot on the right.

限制:Low-resolution derived display; temporal evolution is not shown.

P11R244 双模态案例 4
P11R244 CASE 04 / 8c621b69a2e8267a798e

交叉注意力相对消融失误

HARPN 82010-05-05T03:12:00_TAI真值 beta-x
P11R244 项目方法beta / 真类概率 0.0048
无交叉注意力消融beta-x / 真类概率 0.9552

Qwen 像素级描述

Magnetogram shows a narrow horizontal band with a large blue patch on the left and a smaller red patch on the right.;Continuum shows a narrow horizontal band with a large bright white region on the left and two smaller bright spots on the right.

跨模态关系

The large blue magnetogram patch aligns with the large bright continuum region on the left.

限制:Low-resolution derived display; physical field magnitude cannot be inferred.

P11R244 双模态案例 5
P11R244 CASE 05 / f24824314493cdd0cf65

方法相对无先验模型挽救

HARPN 81952022-05-08T01:36:00_TAI真值 beta-x
P11R244 项目方法beta-x / 真类概率 0.9951
无先验模型beta / 真类概率 0.0060

Qwen 像素级描述

Magnetogram shows a horizontal band with a dominant dark red cluster on the left and scattered blue patches on the right.;Continuum shows a horizontal band with a large bright white region on the left and a few small bright spots.

跨模态关系

The dominant red magnetogram cluster aligns with the large bright continuum region on the left.

限制:Low-resolution derived display; independent confirmation is not available from these images.

P11R244 双模态案例 6
P11R244 CASE 06 / 9647d9613220fdbb84a3

方法相对无先验模型失误

HARPN 2112010-10-17T01:36:00_TAI真值 beta-x
P11R244 项目方法beta / 真类概率 0.0086
无先验模型beta-x / 真类概率 0.9939

Qwen 像素级描述

Magnetogram shows a horizontal band with scattered red and blue patches, with a larger red region in the lower center.;Continuum shows a horizontal band with multiple bright white patches distributed across the lower half.

跨模态关系

The red magnetogram region in the lower center aligns with bright continuum patches in the same area.

限制:Low-resolution derived display; human expert review is not represented in these visuals.

解释边界:案例选择与视觉审阅均为事后描述性分析。图像是低分辨率派生显示;Qwen 的像素观察和低置信度跨案例模式不构成太阳物理因果机制、前瞻确认、SOTA 或真人专家审阅。后续仅可把这些模式转化为新的预注册检验。